Sunday, July 12, 2026

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    Trump Warns of 1,000 Missiles Aimed at Iran as Bitcoin Holds Near $64,000

    Bitcoin traded a hair above $64,000 on July 12 at 11:30 a.m. EDT, as President Donald Trump declared a fragile ceasefire with Iran finished, adding...

    Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike drop to 58.5% after AI inflation talk

    Polymarket “Fed Rate Hike in 2026?” Reprices After Fed Minutes Flag AI-Linked Inflation Pressures On Polymarket, the “Fed rate hike in 2026?” contract is priced at...

    Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by Jul 15 at 0.35% Yes

    Polymarket Prices Iran–US Threat Rhetoric Into a Near-Lock “No” on Hormuz Normalization by July 15 On Polymarket, traders are pricing “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to...

    Polymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats up

    Golden Boot Headlines Don’t Move Polymarket’s Golden Ball Odds—Pricing Stays Flat at 50% Leader Polymarket’s "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" market is unchanged, with the listed...

    Coinbase Fires Back at Senator Warren Over CLARITY Act Sanctions Warning

    Coinbase’s chief policy officer pushed back against Senator Elizabeth Warren’s criticism of the CLARITY Act, arguing the crypto bill strengthens national security protections rather than...

    Polymarket odds lift to 79.5% for Fed hold in July after CPI risk note

    Polymarket Reprices July 2026 Fed “No Change” Odds After CPI-Linked Rate Outlook Note Polymarket traders are pricing a 79.5% chance the Fed makes no rate change...

    Polymarket odds of US invading Iran rise to 16.5% after strike footage report

    Polymarket Reprices “U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027?” After Strikes Footage Headline Polymarket traders have pushed the “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” contract up to...

    Saylor’s Bitcoin Chart Returns After Strategy Sold BTC, but He Says Orange Dots Tell Only Part of the Story

    Michael Saylor posted his signature orange-dot bitcoin chart after Strategy sold 3,588 BTC for $216 million, reigniting a familiar signal while casting fresh doubt over...

    Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.5% in next leader out before 2027 market

    Polymarket Keeps “Starmer Out Before 2027” Near-Locked Despite 2026 U.S. Midterm Enthusiasm Headlines Polymarket traders are heavily pricing “Starmer - UK PM” as the next leader...

    A Winning Strategy: Buy High, Sell Low – Week in Review

    This editorial is from this week’s edition of the newsletter Week in Review, sent to subscribers on Friday. Subscribe to the newsletter to get this...

    Pakistan crypto chief seeks dialogue after scholar rules against crypto payments

    Pakistan’s virtual-assets regulator called for continued dialogue on the treatment of digital assets after meeting an Islamic scholar who backed a ruling against purchases made...

    Polymarket Taiwan invasion odds drop to 3.75% as No holds 96%

    Polymarket Reprices “China Invades Taiwan by End of 2026?” After Policy-Driven Catalyst On Polymarket, the “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” contract has repriced...