{"id":675651,"date":"2026-10-25T08:19:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-25T08:19:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/20261025-price-prediction-avax-bears-own-every-moving-average-as"},"modified":"2026-10-25T08:19:43","modified_gmt":"2026-10-25T08:19:43","slug":"avax-price-prediction-bears-own-every-moving-average-as-8-50-support-becomes-the-line-in-the-sand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/10\/25\/avax-price-prediction-bears-own-every-moving-average-as-8-50-support-becomes-the-line-in-the-sand\/","title":{"rendered":"AVAX Price Prediction: Bears Own Every Moving Average as $8.50 Support Becomes the Line in the Sand"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id>\n<nav class=\"bn-article-breadcrumb\" aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Home<\/a> <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\/<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/#home-latest-heading\">Latest reporting<\/a> <\/nav>\n<p class=\"bn-article-type\">Price forecast<\/p>\n<p class=\"lead\">Avalanche slipped 1.48% over the past 24 hours to trade at $8.85 \u2014 precisely its daily pivot point \u2014 with all five short-to-medium-term moving averages stacked above spot price and Binance taker da&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"bn-article-byline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/Profile\/Iris-Coleman\" rel=\"author\">Iris Coleman<\/a> Oct 25, 2026 08:19 UTC <\/div>\n<p class=\"bn-article-notice\">Market analysis includes conditional scenarios, not assured price outcomes or investment advice. Check the data, assumptions and dates cited.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"bn-article-hero\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/features\/86789550182686041E99FECE596C78387D0F55636EE3D54A94650099B63FEF4B.jpg\" class=\"hero-image-link\"> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"hero-image\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/features\/86789550182686041E99FECE596C78387D0F55636EE3D54A94650099B63FEF4B.jpg\" alt=\"AVAX Price Prediction: Bears Own Every Moving Average as $8.50 Support Becomes the Line in the Sand\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\"> <\/a> <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div data-article-body>\n<h2>A Fully Inverted Moving Average Stack<\/h2>\n<p>Avalanche is trading at $8.85 against the October 25 Binance spot data, printing a 1.48% decline within a 24-hour range of $8.68 to $9.03. The moving average picture is unambiguous: the 7-day SMA sits at $9.29, the 50-day at $9.68, the 20-day at $9.97, the 12-day EMA at $9.50, and the 26-day EMA at $9.77. Every one of those averages sits above current price. The lone exception is the 200-day SMA at $8.18, which offers a floor roughly $0.67 below spot. When short-to-medium-term averages are stacked sequentially overhead in this way, each becomes a supply zone that rally attempts must absorb before the structure can shift.<\/p>\n<h2>Oscillators Are Stretched \u2014 But Sellers Haven&#8217;t Left<\/h2>\n<p>The momentum picture introduces some complexity. The 14-period daily RSI reads 35.44, characterised in the supplied data as sitting in neutral territory, though it is within a few points of the conventional oversold threshold. The Stochastic oscillators are considerably more stretched: %K at 7.17 and %D at 5.74 are both deep in oversold territory, levels historically associated with late-stage selling exhaustion. The MACD stands at -0.2666 against a matching signal line, leaving the histogram at exactly zero \u2014 a configuration the supplied data flags as reflecting bearish momentum, though a flat histogram after a sustained negative MACD cross can indicate deceleration rather than outright reversal. Neither reading alone establishes a floor.<\/p>\n<p>Bollinger Band positioning reinforces the extended picture. The %B reading of 0.0932 places AVAX near the lower band at $8.59, against a middle band (20-day SMA) at $9.97 and an upper band at $11.36. Proximity to the lower band reflects statistical compression, not an automatic bounce trigger; a close below it can indicate sustained momentum rather than mean reversion.<\/p>\n<h2>Derivatives: Rising Open Interest Against a Falling Price<\/h2>\n<p>On Binance Futures, open interest rose 1.76% over the past 24 hours to approximately $90.73 million (9,748,586 contracts), while price simultaneously declined. Open interest expanding into a down move is consistent with new short positioning entering the market, though without direction-tagged data the full composition cannot be confirmed. The 8-hour funding rate of 0.0025% is effectively neutral, meaning neither side is paying a meaningful premium to hold exposure.<\/p>\n<p>The one-hour account-level positioning data, observed at 07:00 UTC on October 25, shows the Binance global account cohort at 59.4% long versus 40.6% short (ratio: 1.46), while the top-trader cohort within Binance is skewed further at 65.6% long versus 34.4% short (ratio: 1.9036). These figures describe the composition of those specific Binance account categories and do not map directly to broader market positioning or institutional flows.<\/p>\n<p>The taker buy\/sell ratio tells a more immediate story. In the same one-hour window, sell volume reached 189,325 contracts against buy volume of 100,136, producing a ratio of 0.5289. Market-order sellers are actively hitting bids at a rate approaching two-to-one over buyers \u2014 real-time directional pressure that sits in tension with the net-long positioning ratios above.<\/p>\n<h2>The Andreou Framework: $8.50 as the Conditional Floor<\/h2>\n<p>On October 20, analyst Giannis Andreou (@gandreou007), cited on cryptofrontnews.com, outlined a trendline retest scenario with a conditional path toward $15, explicitly requiring AVAX to hold the $8.50\u2013$8.90 support zone. At $8.85, price is at the upper edge of that stated band \u2014 the zone is active but its lower boundary remains untested. Two days later, on October 22, Andreou posted a more expansive framework on coinpedia.org, describing &#8220;six checkpoints between $9.93 and $55&#8221; with $55 as a distant conditional target requiring sequential resistance breakouts beginning at $9.93. No time deadline was specified for either scenario.<\/p>\n<p>The immediate supplied resistance structure places $9.03 as the first test \u2014 the top of the 24-hour range \u2014 and $9.20 as the strong resistance level above it. Any recovery would need to clear both before the lower end of Andreou&#8217;s $9.93-and-above sequence becomes structurally relevant.<\/p>\n<h2>Support Band vs. Overhead Supply: The Binary Ahead<\/h2>\n<p>The next material resolution is clear in the supplied levels. The immediate support sits at $8.67, with strong support at $8.50 \u2014 the lower bound of the zone Andreou flagged as a conditional hold. A daily ATR of $0.58 means a single session can cover the entire distance between current price and that support, so this test may not take long to arrive. On the upside, $9.03 is the minimum threshold for any credible reversal argument; below it, every MA from $9.29 through $9.97 represents a layer of overhead supply, not a target.<\/p>\n<p>A conditional scenario can be framed from the supplied levels:<\/p>\n<p>Scenario: Lower Bollinger Band and strong support zone test; Direction: long; Entry: $8.59; Stop: $8.44; Target: $9.03; Reward\/risk: 2.93:1 (before fees, slippage and gaps).<\/p>\n<p>This is a hypothetical framework derived mechanically from the supplied Bollinger Band lower boundary, strong support at $8.50, and immediate resistance at $9.03. It is not a recommendation. Stops do not guarantee execution prices.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"card border-0 rounded-4 shadow-sm my-4 bg-body-tertiary news-inline-price-chart\" data-news-inline-chart=\"1\" data-binance-symbol=\"AVAXUSDT\" aria-labelledby=\"news-inline-pc-h-6ae29e51\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p class=\"small text-secondary mb-2\">Hourly candlesticks (about 96 bars), same endpoint as our cryptocurrency price pages. Numbers below refresh from 1-minute klines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"small mb-0 mt-2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/price\/AVAX\/USD\">More AVAX news, AVAX price prediction and analysis<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p>The downside invalidation is a confirmed close beneath $8.50. If that level gives way, the 200-day SMA at $8.18 becomes the next structural reference from the supplied data, with no intermediate support level identified between the two points.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Home \/ Latest reporting Price forecast Avalanche slipped 1.48% over the past 24 hours to trade at $8.85 \u2014 precisely its daily pivot point \u2014 with all five short-to-medium-term moving averages stacked above spot price and Binance taker da&#8230; Iris Coleman Oct 25, 2026 08:19 UTC Market analysis includes conditional scenarios, not assured price outcomes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":675652,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[15103,13382,25],"class_list":{"0":"post-675651","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-avax-price-analysis","9":"tag-avax-price-prediction","10":"tag-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675651","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=675651"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675651\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/675652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=675651"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=675651"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=675651"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}