{"id":670894,"date":"2026-10-14T07:52:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:52:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/20261014-price-prediction-target-sol-95-bear-looms-as-sol-fails"},"modified":"2026-10-14T07:52:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:52:15","slug":"sol-price-prediction-95-bear-target-looms-as-sol-fails-to-reclaim-116","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/10\/14\/sol-price-prediction-95-bear-target-looms-as-sol-fails-to-reclaim-116\/","title":{"rendered":"SOL Price Prediction: $95 Bear Target Looms as SOL Fails to Reclaim $116"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id>\n<nav class=\"bn-article-breadcrumb\" aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Home<\/a> <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\/<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/#home-latest-heading\">Latest reporting<\/a> <\/nav>\n<p class=\"bn-article-type\">Price forecast<\/p>\n<p class=\"lead\">Solana is trading at $107.42, below every significant short-term moving average and near the lower Bollinger Band, with two analysts citing conditional downside to $106 and $95 if bulls cannot recl&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"bn-article-byline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/Profile\/Luisa-Crawford\" rel=\"author\">Luisa Crawford<\/a> Oct 14, 2026 07:52 UTC <\/div>\n<p class=\"bn-article-notice\">Market analysis includes conditional scenarios, not assured price outcomes or investment advice. Check the data, assumptions and dates cited.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"bn-article-hero\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/features\/9EE2F71800B7D9AB2EC4403F8DB81B8240F746E2727DEDF723B54798865C5B50.jpg\" class=\"hero-image-link\"> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"hero-image\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/features\/9EE2F71800B7D9AB2EC4403F8DB81B8240F746E2727DEDF723B54798865C5B50.jpg\" alt=\"SOL Price Prediction: $95 Bear Target Looms as SOL Fails to Reclaim $116\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\"> <\/a> <\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div data-article-body>\n<h2>Every Short-Term Average Is Now Overhead<\/h2>\n<p>SOL posted a 0.67% decline over 24 hours to $107.42 on Binance spot, trading within a session range of $105.63 to $109.07 against $217.2 million in spot volume. The price structure is stark: SOL sits below the SMA 7 ($108.60), SMA 50 ($109.50), EMA 12 ($111.41), EMA 26 ($111.92), and SMA 20 ($115.90). The sole average providing longer-run structural context beneath current price is the SMA 200 at $87.19. That configuration \u2014 below the short- and medium-term stack but above the long-term trend average \u2014 describes a corrective phase within a larger uptrend, without confirming whether the correction has exhausted itself.<\/p>\n<p>The pivot point from supplied data sits at $107.37, virtually coinciding with the current print. Immediate resistance is at $109.12 and strong resistance at $110.81; immediate support is at $105.68 and strong support at $103.93.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"card border-0 rounded-4 shadow-sm my-4 bg-body-tertiary news-inline-price-chart\" data-news-inline-chart=\"1\" data-binance-symbol=\"SOLUSDT\" aria-labelledby=\"news-inline-pc-h-6a212d51\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p class=\"small text-secondary mb-2\">Hourly candlesticks (about 96 bars), same endpoint as our cryptocurrency price pages. Numbers below refresh from 1-minute klines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"small mb-0 mt-2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/price\/SOL\/USD\">More SOL news, SOL price prediction and analysis<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<h2>Momentum Has Stalled, Not Reversed<\/h2>\n<p>The 14-period daily RSI reads 42.12, sitting in the neutral zone and comfortably above oversold. The MACD and its signal line are both at -0.5041, producing a histogram of exactly 0.0000 \u2014 which the supplied technical data labels as bearish momentum. A zero histogram indicates the MACD line and signal have converged; the downward momentum phase has flattened rather than crossed into positive territory, meaning no bullish crossover is yet registered. Stochastic %K at 25.96 and %D at 20.77 are approaching oversold but have not reached it.<\/p>\n<p>Bollinger Band positioning reinforces the pressure: a %B reading of 0.1238 places SOL near the lower band at $104.63, well below the middle band (SMA 20) at $115.90. A mean-reversion move to the middle band would require an $8.48 recovery from current levels. The daily ATR(14) of $4.48 provides context for what constitutes a normal single-session range.<\/p>\n<h2>Two Analysts, One Threshold: Reclaim $116 or Face Deeper Losses<\/h2>\n<p>Both analyst views on record date from October 8, 2026. Sjuul of AltCryptoGems, writing via crypto.news, set the choice plainly: &#8220;Either bulls step in here and elevate back above it, or we might get a deeper correction into $106,&#8221; with $116 as the level requiring reclaim. The SMA 20 at $115.90 aligns tightly with that threshold, lending it natural technical weight. SOL has not reclaimed it in the period between that observation and the current price.<\/p>\n<p>On the same date, analyst Yashu Gola, writing via ca.finance.yahoo.com, put the risk more starkly: &#8220;Solana (SOL) risks a circa 15% correction toward $95 in the coming weeks as it tests a major resistance zone that previously acted as support.&#8221; His explicit target is $95. Neither call carries an assigned probability, and both were issued before the current price was observed, meaning the entry context from which the percentage was calculated may differ from today&#8217;s print.<\/p>\n<h2>Derivatives: Rising Open Interest, Neutral Funding, Balanced Flow<\/h2>\n<p>Binance Futures open interest reached approximately $918.4 million (8,411,536 contracts) as of the supplied observation, a 1.15% increase over 24 hours. Open interest expanding modestly while spot price drifts lower is worth noting \u2014 it implies new positions are being initiated \u2014 but without a reliable directional attribution between new longs and new shorts, the signal remains ambiguous.<\/p>\n<p>The 8-hour funding rate of 0.0100% is effectively neutral, indicating neither side is paying a meaningful premium to hold exposure. At 07:00 UTC on October 14, 2026, Binance global accounts showed 69.7% long versus 30.3% short (ratio: 2.3003), and Binance top-trader accounts sat at 71.9% long versus 28.1% short (ratio: 2.5587). These figures describe the composition of those specific Binance cohorts at that snapshot and should not be extrapolated to broader market positioning or institutional conviction. The 1-hour taker buy\/sell ratio of 0.9643 \u2014 buy volume 206,252 contracts against sell volume 213,894 \u2014 registered as near-balanced, with no decisive aggression visible from either side.<\/p>\n<h2>Conditional Scenarios at Defined Levels<\/h2>\n<p>The $109.12\u2013$110.81 resistance band is the immediate test. The SMA 50 at $109.50 sits inside that cluster, reinforcing its significance. A daily close above $110.81 would begin to chip away at the overhead structure, gradually placing the SMA 20 and the analyst-cited $116 threshold back in scope as the bull case develops. Without that reclaim, the lower Bollinger Band at $104.63, immediate support at $105.68, and strong support at $103.93 form the near-term bear-case zone. A sustained break below $103.93 would put the AltCryptoGems $106 conditional and Gola&#8217;s $95 target into play as the next reference levels.<\/p>\n<p>Conditional short at resistance; Direction: short; Entry: $109.12; Stop: $110.81; Target: $103.93; Reward\/risk: 3.07:1 (before fees, slippage and gaps).<\/p>\n<p>The RSI at 42.12 is not at a level that typically marks durable bottoms, and the MACD has produced no positive cross. That said, the stochastic approaching oversold without broader confirmation creates a modest counterargument to pressing short exposure at the current price level \u2014 a technical bounce from the lower band area remains plausible even within a continued downtrend. A close above $110.81 would invalidate the short scenario above and shift focus back to whether the $115.90\u2013$116 zone can be sustained rather than rejected.<\/p>\n<h2>Evidence links<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>crypto.news<\/li>\n<li>ca.finance.yahoo.com<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Home \/ Latest reporting Price forecast Solana is trading at $107.42, below every significant short-term moving average and near the lower Bollinger Band, with two analysts citing conditional downside to $106 and $95 if bulls cannot recl&#8230; Luisa Crawford Oct 14, 2026 07:52 UTC Market analysis includes conditional scenarios, not assured price outcomes or investment [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":670895,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[25,21495,8232],"class_list":{"0":"post-670894","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-news","9":"tag-sol-price-analysis","10":"tag-sol-price-prediction"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/670894","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=670894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/670894\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/670895"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=670894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=670894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=670894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}