{"id":637083,"date":"2026-07-31T07:17:23","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T07:17:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/20260731-price-prediction-xrp-bears-hold-the-cards-below-110"},"modified":"2026-07-31T07:17:23","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T07:17:23","slug":"xrp-price-prediction-bears-hold-the-cards-below-1-10-1-00-test-is-coming-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/07\/31\/xrp-price-prediction-bears-hold-the-cards-below-1-10-1-00-test-is-coming-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"XRP Price Prediction: Bears Hold the Cards Below $1.10 \u2014 $1.00 Test Is Coming This Week"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Lawrence Jengar<\/a> Jul 31, 2026 07:17<\/span> <\/p>\n

XRP is pinned at $1.08 beneath a bearish stack of moving averages with $1.06 as the last real floor before psychological $1.00 comes into play. Probability favors further downside at roughly 60\/40 …<\/p>\n

\"XRP <\/a> <\/figure>\n

The Immediate Setup<\/h2>\n

XRP is at $1.08, and the chart is about as inspiring as a flat EKG. Price is trading below the 7, 20, 50, and 200-day simple moving averages simultaneously \u2014 that’s not a pullback, that’s a broken structure. The 24-hour range of just $0.02 against an ATR of $0.03 tells you the market is coiling, but coiling beneath a descending average stack doesn’t automatically scream “buy the compression.” It more often screams “calm before the next leg lower.”<\/p>\n

Momentum indicators are flatlined near mid-range \u2014 buyers are clearly hesitating, refusing to commit capital at these levels. The stochastics are drifting toward oversold (K at 25, D at 20), which in isolation would hint at exhaustion of selling pressure, but stochastics can ride oversold for days in a trending bear market. There is no catalyst visible in the current setup to flip sentiment. As tracked by Blockchain.news<\/a>, low-volatility compressions in XRP beneath declining moving average structures have historically resolved to the downside far more often than they’ve launched reversals \u2014 and the current configuration checks every box on that historical template.<\/p>\n

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Key Levels Exposed<\/h2>\n

The tape here is clean and specific, which actually makes the trade setup easier to define. On the topside, $1.09 is where the EMA 12 and immediate resistance converge \u2014 the market has already demonstrated it cannot sustain above that level. The real wall is $1.10, where the SMA 20, EMA 26, and strong resistance all pile on top of each other. Breaking $1.10 on volume would be a genuine character change for this chart. Until that happens, any intraday rally into the $1.09\u2013$1.10 zone is noise, not signal.<\/p>\n

On the downside, $1.07 provides thin, unreliable support \u2014 think speed bump, not concrete wall. The number that actually matters is $1.06. That’s the strong support level, and a confirmed daily close below it removes the last technical floor before the psychologically loaded $1.00 handle. At $1.00, you’re not just dealing with price \u2014 you’re dealing with narrative. Every retail holder who bought “the XRP regulatory win” in the $1.10\u2013$1.20 range would be sitting underwater, and forced liquidations have a funny way of accelerating once psychological levels snap.<\/p>\n

The 200-day SMA at $1.36 contextualizes the full scope of damage. XRP is trading nearly 21% below its own long-term trend average. This chart belongs to sellers until proven otherwise.<\/p>\n

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Sentiment vs Reality<\/h2>\n

This is where the setup gets genuinely dangerous for bulls. Derivatives data shows retail positioned 70.9% long, and Binance’s top trader cohort \u2014 the so-called “smart money” \u2014 running an even more lopsided 74% long. Crowded long positioning in a technically broken structure is a classic setup for a flush. Open interest has shed 1.37% in 24 hours, which means some of those longs are quietly unwinding rather than adding conviction. That’s not a capitulation washout \u2014 it’s a slow bleed, and slow bleeds tend to accelerate when support cracks.<\/p>\n