{"id":627593,"date":"2026-07-11T08:24:33","date_gmt":"2026-07-11T08:24:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/20260711-price-prediction-near-bears-have-the-wheel-180-test"},"modified":"2026-07-11T08:24:33","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T08:24:33","slug":"near-price-prediction-bears-have-the-wheel-1-80-test-looms-as-momentum-flatlines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/07\/11\/near-price-prediction-bears-have-the-wheel-1-80-test-looms-as-momentum-flatlines\/","title":{"rendered":"NEAR Price Prediction: Bears Have the Wheel \u2014 $1.80 Test Looms as Momentum Flatlines"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"figure mt-2\">\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/Profile\/James-Ding\">James Ding<\/a> <span class=\"publication-date ml-2\"> Jul 11, 2026 08:24<\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"lead\">NEAR is sitting at $1.89 with price pinned below every short-term moving average and open interest quietly bleeding out \u2014 the 48-hour default path leads to $1.80 support, but smart money at 55% lon&#8230;<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/features\/0D38D29301046B39F754CF1B887624DFE58F581058CE8050448B69545342A849.jpg\" class=\"hero-image-link\"> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"rounded hero-image\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/features\/0D38D29301046B39F754CF1B887624DFE58F581058CE8050448B69545342A849.jpg\" alt=\"NEAR Price Prediction: Bears Have the Wheel \u2014 $1.80 Test Looms as Momentum Flatlines\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\"> <\/a> <\/figure>\n<h2>Market Context: Why NEAR is Drifting, Not Crashing<\/h2>\n<p>NEAR isn&#8217;t in freefall \u2014 it&#8217;s in something arguably worse: a slow, indecisive bleed. The token shed nearly 3% in the last 24 hours within a tight $1.86\u2013$1.95 range, and the price structure tells you exactly what that means. Every major short-term average \u2014 the 7-day, 20-day, EMA-12, EMA-26 \u2014 is stacked above the current price like a ceiling. That&#8217;s not a healthy consolidation; that&#8217;s a market where sellers are in control of every bounce attempt.<\/p>\n<p>The one structural positive keeping the long-term thesis intact is the 200-day SMA sitting at $1.56. NEAR has built a meaningful cushion above that level, which means this isn&#8217;t a story of a token rolling over into a new downtrend \u2014 it&#8217;s a story of a token that ran up and is now digesting. Analytical platforms are reflecting this ambivalence: MEXC projects $1.9387 for the month of July, essentially a coin flip from current levels, while CoinCodex&#8217;s year-end target of $1.64 implies further downside if buyers don&#8217;t show up with conviction. You can track evolving price action and market developments in real time through <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\">Blockchain.news<\/a>.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"card border-0 rounded-4 shadow-sm my-4 bg-body-tertiary news-inline-price-chart\" data-news-inline-chart=\"1\" data-binance-symbol=\"NEARUSDT\" aria-labelledby=\"news-inline-pc-h-a28227fe\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p class=\"small text-secondary mb-2\">Hourly candlesticks (about 96 bars), same endpoint as our cryptocurrency price pages. Numbers below refresh from 1-minute klines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"small mb-0 mt-2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/price\/NEAR\/USD\">Full NEAR price, calculator &amp; analysis<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p>The macro setup for NEAR is a tug-of-war between a structurally intact long-term trend and short-term technical deterioration that has yet to find a floor.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h2>Indicator Alignment: The Technicals Are Telling You to Wait<\/h2>\n<p>Nothing about the current technical picture screams &#8220;buy now.&#8221; Momentum has flatlined \u2014 the MACD histogram is printing exactly zero, which isn&#8217;t neutrality, it&#8217;s paralysis. When the histogram zeroes out after a downward cross, the burden of proof sits with the bulls, and right now they&#8217;re not producing receipts. RSI at 44.70 confirms it: buyers are hesitating, not accumulating.<\/p>\n<p>The Bollinger Band picture adds texture. Price at roughly 0.40 on the %B scale means NEAR is sitting in the lower half of its range, gravitating toward the lower band at $1.75 rather than mean-reverting to $1.92. That lower band isn&#8217;t a target \u2014 the ATR of $0.13 makes a multi-day move to $1.75 entirely plausible but not the base case in a single session.<\/p>\n<p>The Stochastic is the one indicator offering a potential counterargument. With %K at 41.73 and %D at 33.38, the %K has crossed above %D from oversold territory \u2014 classically a buy signal. But stochastic crosses in a bearish trend act as traps as often as they act as launches. Until price confirms by clearing the $1.94 EMA-12 level on volume, that signal is noise.<\/p>\n<p>The 50-day SMA at $2.14 is the real story everyone is ignoring. That level represents the prior regime and reclaiming it would change the narrative entirely. Everything between $1.89 and $2.14 is contested, messy ground.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h2>Whales &amp; Analyst Targets: Smart Money Is Making a Calculated Bet<\/h2>\n<p>Here&#8217;s where it gets interesting. The retail long\/short ratio sits at essentially 50\/50 \u2014 the crowd has no conviction either way. But zoom in on the top traders \u2014 the whales and institutional desks \u2014 and you see a 55.1% long bias at a 1.23 ratio. That divergence matters. Smart money is positioning for a bounce while retail sits on the fence.<\/p>\n<p>That said, open interest dropped 2.16% alongside price today, which means the declining OI is a direct result of long liquidations, not short accumulation. Futures traders are exiting positions, not building new short books. The taker buy\/sell ratio at 0.93 confirms slight sell-side dominance in spot flow without a capitulation spike.<\/p>\n<p>The analyst target landscape, tracked and aggregated across platforms covered by <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\">Blockchain.news<\/a>, shows a market that&#8217;s priced for stagnation rather than a breakout. MEXC&#8217;s $1.94 July target is basically dead on the immediate resistance cluster \u2014 hitting that level would require NEAR to claw back its 24-hour losses and stall at the first meaningful ceiling. CoinCodex at $1.64 by year-end is the bear scenario in slow motion: gradual erosion, no catastrophe.<\/p>\n<p>The smart money long bias combined with analyst targets clustering right at current resistance tells you where the whale stop-hunt is being set up. A sweep below $1.85 before a launch is very much on the table.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h2>Strategic Positioning: Two Paths, One Decision Point<\/h2>\n<p>The bull case and the bear case both pivot on a single level: $1.85.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Bear Path (55% probability over 48 hours):<\/strong> Price fails to reclaim $1.94 EMA-12 on the next rally attempt, sellers press through $1.85 immediate support, and the trade opens up toward $1.80 \u2014 the strong support shelf. Volume on that breakdown is the tell. If $1.80 gives way with any force, $1.75 (the lower Bollinger Band) becomes the next logical destination. The CoinCodex $1.64 year-end target starts looking reasonable if this support structure crumbles.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Bull Case (45% probability):<\/strong> Whales absorb selling below $1.90, stochastic cross confirms with a daily close above $1.94, and the narrative shifts to a grind toward $1.99 \u2014 the strong resistance. Breaking and holding $1.99 reopens the door to the 50-day SMA at $2.14, which is the real inflection point for a structural trend reversal. The MEXC $1.94 July target would be hit as a waystation, not a ceiling in this scenario.<\/p>\n<p>The trade setup is asymmetric in the short term. Risk-reward for aggressive longs here is poor given the wall of moving averages overhead and declining OI. Patient traders wait for either a confirmed breakdown and re-entry at $1.80\u2013$1.82, or a decisive $1.94 reclaim before committing size. Chasing the current price means stepping in front of a moving average freight train with no catalyst to clear it.<\/p>\n<p>For ongoing developments in NEAR&#8217;s ecosystem that could serve as that catalyst, <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\">Blockchain.news<\/a> remains the place to watch for breaking protocol news that could reshape this technical picture overnight. Right now, the chart is running the show \u2014 and the chart says wait.<\/p>\n<p><span><i>Image source: Shutterstock<\/i><\/span> <!-- Divider --> <!-- Bookmark button -->  <!-- Bookmark button END --> <!-- Author info END --> <!-- Divider --> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>James Ding Jul 11, 2026 08:24 NEAR is sitting at $1.89 with price pinned below every short-term moving average and open interest quietly bleeding out \u2014 the 48-hour default path leads to $1.80 support, but smart money at 55% lon&#8230; Market Context: Why NEAR is Drifting, Not Crashing NEAR isn&#8217;t in freefall \u2014 it&#8217;s in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":627594,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[272,16764,16221],"class_list":{"0":"post-627593","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-analysis","9":"tag-near-price-analysis","10":"tag-near-price-prediction"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=627593"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627593\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/627594"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=627593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=627593"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=627593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}