{"id":622011,"date":"2026-06-30T06:54:40","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:54:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/us-house-backs-kids-online-safety-bill-as-polymarket-lifts-bardella-to-265-0hnmmdtjcob00"},"modified":"2026-06-30T06:54:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:54:40","slug":"us-house-backs-kids-online-safety-bill-as-polymarket-lifts-bardella-to-26-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/06\/30\/us-house-backs-kids-online-safety-bill-as-polymarket-lifts-bardella-to-26-5\/","title":{"rendered":"US House backs kids\u2019 online safety bill as Polymarket lifts Bardella to 26.5%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news\/thumbnails\/Complex%20Stock%20Market%20Candlestick%20Chart.%20Business%20economy%20and%20financial%20background.-min.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<h2>U.S. House Kids\u2019 Online Safety Vote Triggers Senate Showdown as Bardella\u2019s Polymarket Odds Rise to 26.5%<\/h2>\n<p>A U.S. House vote on kids&#8217; online safety is setting up a Senate showdown, a reminder of how fast political agendas can shift ahead of major elections. On Polymarket\u2019s &#8220;Next French Presidential Election&#8221; contract, Jordan Bardella\u2019s odds ticked up to 26.5% from 25.5%.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jordan Bardella leads the Polymarket &#8220;Next French Presidential Election&#8221; market at 26.5% implied odds.<\/li>\n<li>Bardella\u2019s price rose 1.0 percentage point to 26.5% as traders adjusted positioning in the multi-candidate field.<\/li>\n<li>The contract is set to resolve by 2027-04-30, with a 24-hour and 7-day move of +2.0 points in the market summary.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A vote in the U.S. House advanced a proposal focused on children\u2019s online safety, setting up a clash with the Senate over what, if anything, should become law. The House action moves the issue into a new phase where the Senate\u2019s response will determine whether the effort stalls or is reshaped. The measure has become a focal point for lawmakers debating how to regulate online platforms and address risks to minors. The next steps will hinge on Senate negotiations and whether a bill can clear procedural and political hurdles. The House vote leaves the timing and final contours of any legislation uncertain as the debate shifts chambers.<\/p>\n<h2>Polymarket \u201cNext French Presidential Election\u201d Market Hits $106.1M Volume as Bardella Climbs +1.0 Point to 26.5%<\/h2>\n<p>Polymarket shows Jordan Bardella as the front-runner at 26.5% Yes \/ 73.5% No, with total volume at $106,072,858. \u00c9douard Philippe follows at 18.5% Yes \/ 81.5% No, while Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon is priced at 11.5% Yes \/ 88.5% No. Marine Le Pen is marked at 8.5% Yes \/ 91.5% No, indicating the market is distributing probability across several candidates rather than concentrating on a single dominant outcome.<\/p>\n<p>Watch whether the lead widens or compresses between Bardella (26.5%) and Philippe (18.5%) as volume builds toward the 2027-04-30 resolution date.<\/p>\n<h2>Beyond France 2027: Other High-Interest Political Contracts Polymarket Traders Are Watching Ahead of Major Elections<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond French politics, Polymarket\u2019s heaviest traffic is also clustering around big-ticket election bets that double as readouts on shifting coalitions and policy risk. In the U.S., \u201cDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028\u201d is led by Gavin Newsom at 20.45% with $1,219,125,837 in volume, while in Latin America \u201cBrazil Presidential Election\u201d prices Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva at 56.5% on $107,633,963 in turnover, underscoring how traders are spreading exposure across multiple electoral calendars rather than a single headline race.<\/p>\n<h2>Odds Trend<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Window<\/th>\n<th>Change (pp)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>24h<\/td>\n<td>+2.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>7d<\/td>\n<td>+2.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Implied odds (last 48h)25Odds %Jordan Bardella\u00c9douard PhilippeJean-Luc M\u00e9lenchonMarine Le Pen<\/p>\n<h2>By the Numbers<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Platform:<\/strong> Polymarket<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market:<\/strong> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/next-french-presidential-election\">Next French Presidential Election<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Contract type:<\/strong> Price strike ladder: each rung has separate Yes\/No; Yes means the spot price is above that USD strike at settlement.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Resolution window:<\/strong> Apr 30, 2027 (UTC)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Status:<\/strong> Active (open for trading)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Volume:<\/strong> ~$106,072,858<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Top strike rungs<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Strike<\/th>\n<th>Yes<\/th>\n<th>No<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Jordan Bardella<\/td>\n<td>26.5%<\/td>\n<td>73.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00c9douard Philippe<\/td>\n<td>18.5%<\/td>\n<td>81.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon<\/td>\n<td>11.5%<\/td>\n<td>88.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Marine Le Pen<\/td>\n<td>8.5%<\/td>\n<td>91.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>+32 more strikes not shown<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Related Markets<\/h2>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<p><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/next-french-presidential-election\">View market on platform<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. House Kids\u2019 Online Safety Vote Triggers Senate Showdown as Bardella\u2019s Polymarket Odds Rise to 26.5% A U.S. House vote on kids&#8217; online safety is setting up a Senate showdown, a reminder of how fast political agendas can shift ahead of major elections. On Polymarket\u2019s &#8220;Next French Presidential Election&#8221; contract, Jordan Bardella\u2019s odds ticked up [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":622012,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[25,9628,2322,2323,25410,5536],"class_list":{"0":"post-622011","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-news","9":"tag-online-safety","10":"tag-polymarket","11":"tag-prediction-markets","12":"tag-us-election-prediction-markets","13":"tag-us-elections"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/622011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=622011"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/622011\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/622012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=622011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=622011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=622011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}