{"id":621817,"date":"2026-06-29T20:15:42","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T20:15:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/trump-targets-fed-gov-cook-as-polymarket-puts-starmer-exit-odds-at-915-0hnmm3coterk0"},"modified":"2026-06-29T20:15:42","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T20:15:42","slug":"trump-targets-fed-gov-cook-as-polymarket-puts-starmer-exit-odds-at-91-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/06\/29\/trump-targets-fed-gov-cook-as-polymarket-puts-starmer-exit-odds-at-91-5\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump targets Fed Gov Cook as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 91.5%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news\/thumbnails\/blue%20iris.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<h2>Trump Targets Fed Governor Lisa Cook After Supreme Court Ruling as Polymarket Boosts \u201cStarmer Out Before 2027\u201d Odds<\/h2>\n<p>Donald Trump renewed his call to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook after a Supreme Court decision, an episode that sharpened focus on political pressure points across major democracies. On Polymarket, traders still heavily favor the \u201cStarmer &#8211; UK PM\u201d outcome as the next leader out of power before 2027, with the contract\u2019s leading odds ticking higher.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Polymarket prices \u201cStarmer &#8211; UK PM\u201d at 91.5% to be the next leader out of power before 2027.<\/li>\n<li>The leading outcome rose 1.5 percentage points to 91.5% amid fresh political headlines tied to Donald Trump.<\/li>\n<li>The market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31, with the leading odds up 20.5 points over the past 7 days.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Donald Trump renewed his call to force Lisa Cook off the Federal Reserve\u2019s Board of Governors after a Supreme Court decision. The renewed push put fresh attention on how legal rulings may affect the ability to remove officials from independent agencies. Cook, a Fed governor, is one of the central bank\u2019s top policy-makers and her position is set by statute rather than the White House alone. The latest comments revived an ongoing political dispute over the Fed\u2019s independence and the limits of presidential authority. The episode comes as legal questions around executive control and removals move back into the political spotlight.<\/p>\n<h2>Polymarket Data: $8.18M Volume as \u201cStarmer &#8211; UK PM\u201d Climbs to 91.5% (Up 20.5 Points in 7 Days)<\/h2>\n<p>Polymarket\u2019s \u201cNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)\u201d contract had about $8.18 million in volume, with the market overwhelmingly concentrated in the \u201cStarmer &#8211; UK PM\u201d line at 91.5% Yes versus 8.5% No. The next-closest outcome, \u201cPetro &#8211; Colombia President,\u201d traded at 3.25% Yes and 96.75% No, underscoring how little probability the market assigns to alternatives. Long-shot lines remained near the floor, including \u201cTrump &#8211; USA President\u201d at 0.15% Yes and 99.85% No and \u201cPutin &#8211; Russia President\u201d at 0.3% Yes and 99.7% No. The skew suggests traders see a single dominant path to the contract\u2019s next-out result rather than a broadly distributed risk set across multiple leaders.<\/p>\n<p>Watch whether odds concentration in \u201cStarmer &#8211; UK PM\u201d persists as volume changes, and whether any alternative leader line begins to attract sustained buying ahead of the 2026-12-31 resolution date.<\/p>\n<h2>Beyond the UK: Other High-Interest \u201cNext Leader Out of Power\u201d Contracts Traders Are Watching<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond leader-turnover bets, Polymarket\u2019s deepest liquidity is clustered in U.S. politics and geopolitics, where traders are also pricing the next cycle and key diplomatic milestones. In \u201cPresidential Election Winner 2028,\u201d the leader sits at 19.5% with $641.3 million in volume, while \u201cRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028\u201d shows a 49.0% front-runner on $665.9 million. Elsewhere, event-driven risk remains lopsided, with \u201cU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?\u201d implying a 99.8% baseline outcome on about $708,904 in volume.<\/p>\n<h2>Odds Trend<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Window<\/th>\n<th>Change (pp)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>24h<\/td>\n<td>+20.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>7d<\/td>\n<td>+20.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Implied odds (last 48h)0255075Odds %Starmer &#8211; UK PMPetro &#8211; Colombia PresidentD\u00edaz-Canel &#8211; Cuba PresidentAbbas &#8211; President of Palest\u2026<\/p>\n<h2>By the Numbers<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Platform:<\/strong> Polymarket<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market:<\/strong> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban\">Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Contract type:<\/strong> Price strike ladder: each rung has separate Yes\/No; Yes means the spot price is above that USD strike at settlement.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Resolution window:<\/strong> Dec 31, 2026 (UTC)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Status:<\/strong> Active (open for trading)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Volume:<\/strong> ~$8,179,113<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Top strike rungs<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Strike<\/th>\n<th>Yes<\/th>\n<th>No<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Starmer &#8211; UK PM<\/td>\n<td>91.5%<\/td>\n<td>8.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Petro &#8211; Colombia President<\/td>\n<td>3.2%<\/td>\n<td>96.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>D\u00edaz-Canel &#8211; Cuba President<\/td>\n<td>0.8%<\/td>\n<td>99.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Abbas &#8211; President of Palestine<\/td>\n<td>0.8%<\/td>\n<td>99.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>+20 more strikes not shown<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Related Markets<\/h2>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<p><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban\">View market on platform<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump Targets Fed Governor Lisa Cook After Supreme Court Ruling as Polymarket Boosts \u201cStarmer Out Before 2027\u201d Odds Donald Trump renewed his call to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook after a Supreme Court decision, an episode that sharpened focus on political pressure points across major democracies. On Polymarket, traders still heavily favor the \u201cStarmer [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":621818,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[910,25438,59,25,2322,2323],"class_list":{"0":"post-621817","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-donald-trump","9":"tag-donald-trump-prediction-markets","10":"tag-federal-reserve","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-polymarket","13":"tag-prediction-markets"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=621817"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621817\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/621818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=621817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=621817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=621817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}