{"id":621692,"date":"2026-06-29T14:37:43","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T14:37:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/lapid-alleges-netanyahu-satellite-parties-as-polymarket-backs-eizenkot-416-0hnmlt2uua000"},"modified":"2026-06-29T14:37:43","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T14:37:43","slug":"lapid-alleges-netanyahu-satellite-parties-as-polymarket-backs-eizenkot-41-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/06\/29\/lapid-alleges-netanyahu-satellite-parties-as-polymarket-backs-eizenkot-41-6\/","title":{"rendered":"Lapid alleges Netanyahu &#8220;satellite parties&#8221; as Polymarket backs Eizenkot 41.6%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news\/thumbnails\/Economy%20trends.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<h2>Lapid Claims Netanyahu Is Building \u201cSatellite Parties\u201d as Polymarket Reprices Israel\u2019s Next PM Race, Eizenkot Jumps to 4<\/h2>\n<p>Comments from opposition leader Yair Lapid accusing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of building \u201csatellite parties\u201d ahead of the next election coincided with a repricing on Polymarket\u2019s \u201cWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?\u201d contract. The market\u2019s leading line, Gadi Eizenkot, was last priced at 41.6%, up from 39.1%.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Polymarket\u2019s top-priced outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 41.6% (No 58.4%).<\/li>\n<li>Traders nudged pricing after Lapid said Netanyahu is building \u201csatellite parties\u201d because he expects to lose the next election.<\/li>\n<li>The contract is set to resolve by 2026-12-31, with Eizenkot up 2.05 percentage points over the past 24 hours.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Opposition leader Yair Lapid said Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is working to build \u201csatellite parties\u201d ahead of Israel\u2019s next election. Lapid argued the effort reflects Netanyahu\u2019s expectation of an election defeat. The remarks framed the pre-election maneuvering as aimed at reshaping the political landscape around Netanyahu and his bloc. Lapid\u2019s comments highlighted intensifying public positioning between the opposition and the prime minister as parties prepare for a future vote. The exchange underscored how campaign strategies and coalition arithmetic are already central to the contest over Israel\u2019s next government.<\/p>\n<h2>Polymarket Data: $22.49M Traded as Eizenkot Leads Netanyahu 41.6% vs 34.5%, Bennett at 12.5%<\/h2>\n<p>On Polymarket, the multi-outcome market has traded about $22,488,108 in volume and shows a clear two-runner race at the top. Gadi Eizenkot leads at 41.6% Yes \/ 58.4% No, while Benjamin Netanyahu is priced at 34.5% Yes \/ 65.5% No. The next tier drops sharply, with Naftali Bennett at 12.5% Yes \/ 87.5% No and Avigdor Lieberman at 3.55% Yes \/ 96.45% No. The price gap between Eizenkot and Netanyahu suggests traders see Eizenkot as the frontrunner but still assign meaningful odds to a Netanyahu outcome, with long-tail candidates collectively priced as remote.<\/p>\n<p>Watch whether the Eizenkot vs Netanyahu spread widens or compresses, and whether any mid-tier candidate such as Bennett begins to attract sustained price support ahead of the 2026-12-31 resolution date.<\/p>\n<h2>Beyond Israel\u2019s Election Market: Other High-Volume Geopolitical and Macro Contracts Polymarket Traders Are Watching<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond Israel\u2019s leadership pricing, Polymarket\u2019s order flow is also gravitating to regional-diplomacy contracts that hinge on near-term headlines and deadline risk. In the Middle East arena, \u201cWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?\u201d is led by 80.1% on \u201cNo,\u201d with $657,503 in volume after a 2.5 percentage-point move, underscoring how traders are balancing low-probability breakthrough scenarios against baseline expectations.<\/p>\n<h2>Odds Trend<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Window<\/th>\n<th>Change (pp)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>24h<\/td>\n<td>+2.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>7d<\/td>\n<td>+2.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Implied odds (last 48h)025Odds %Gadi EizenkotBenjamin NetanyahuNaftali BennettAvigdor Lieberman<\/p>\n<h2>By the Numbers<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Top strike rungs<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Strike<\/th>\n<th>Yes<\/th>\n<th>No<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Gadi Eizenkot<\/td>\n<td>41.6%<\/td>\n<td>58.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Benjamin Netanyahu<\/td>\n<td>34.5%<\/td>\n<td>65.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Naftali Bennett<\/td>\n<td>12.5%<\/td>\n<td>87.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Avigdor Lieberman<\/td>\n<td>3.5%<\/td>\n<td>96.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>+14 more strikes not shown<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Related Markets<\/h2>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<p><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election\">View market on platform<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lapid Claims Netanyahu Is Building \u201cSatellite Parties\u201d as Polymarket Reprices Israel\u2019s Next PM Race, Eizenkot Jumps to 4 Comments from opposition leader Yair Lapid accusing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of building \u201csatellite parties\u201d ahead of the next election coincided with a repricing on Polymarket\u2019s \u201cWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":621693,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[25724,25704,25875,25,2322,2323],"class_list":{"0":"post-621692","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-israel-politics","9":"tag-israelgaza-prediction-markets","10":"tag-israeli-elections","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-polymarket","13":"tag-prediction-markets"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=621692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621692\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/621693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=621692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=621692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=621692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}