{"id":620882,"date":"2026-06-28T00:28:58","date_gmt":"2026-06-28T00:28:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/adorni-quits-in-milei-graft-storm-as-polymarket-boosts-eizenkot-to-416-0hnmkl9ma3k40"},"modified":"2026-06-28T00:28:58","modified_gmt":"2026-06-28T00:28:58","slug":"adorni-quits-in-milei-graft-storm-as-polymarket-boosts-eizenkot-to-41-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/06\/28\/adorni-quits-in-milei-graft-storm-as-polymarket-boosts-eizenkot-to-41-6\/","title":{"rendered":"Adorni quits in Milei graft storm as Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 41.6%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news\/thumbnails\/FD046C1F06D98223FA22053BD9CABA52050DD6877432EA4FFC1AF3267DB0A44A.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<h2>Argentina Corruption Scandal Hits Headlines as Polymarket Lifts Gadi Eizenkot to 41.55% to Be Israel\u2019s Next Prime Minist<\/h2>\n<p>Argentine President Javier Milei\u2019s Cabinet chief and close ally Manuel Adorni resigned on Saturday amid a corruption scandal that has shaken the government. On Polymarket\u2019s \u201cWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?\u201d contract, traders marked up Gadi Eizenkot to 41.55%, up 2.45 points from 39.10%.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Polymarket prices Gadi Eizenkot as the leading contender at 41.55% to be Israel\u2019s next prime minister after the next election.<\/li>\n<li>The top-line odds moved higher as political-risk headlines hit the tape, with Eizenkot gaining 2.45 points versus the prior 39.10% reading.<\/li>\n<li>The market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31, with Eizenkot up 2.05 points over both the past 24 hours and seven days.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Argentine President Javier Milei\u2019s Cabinet chief and close ally Manuel Adorni resigned on Saturday after a corruption scandal that has roiled the government and undercut Milei\u2019s pledge to combat graft. Adorni, Milei\u2019s former presidential spokesperson and a prominent defender of the administration\u2019s austerity push, had faced mounting scrutiny over reports of lavish spending and real estate purchases since Milei took office on Dec. 10, 2023. Federal prosecutors are investigating Adorni for alleged illicit enrichment, while he has denied wrongdoing and said the money was earned legitimately, including through cryptocurrency investments. In his resignation letter posted to social media, Adorni wrote that he was acting against Milei\u2019s wishes and described the process as \u201cunjust, painful and exhausting\u201d for his family. The scandal has damaged the government\u2019s public image and complicated its efforts to communicate spending cuts, and it remains unclear who will replace Adorni.<\/p>\n<h2>Polymarket Data: $22.04M Matched Volume as Eizenkot Leads Netanyahu 41.55% vs 33.50% Ahead of 2026-12-31 Resolution<\/h2>\n<p>Polymarket shows $22,041,826 in matched volume on the multi-outcome contract for Israel\u2019s next prime minister, with Gadi Eizenkot leading at 41.55% Yes versus 58.45% No. Benjamin Netanyahu is next at 33.50% Yes and 66.50% No, leaving the top two names accounting for roughly three-quarters of implied probability. Naftali Bennett is priced at 12.50% Yes and 87.50% No, while long shots such as Avigdor Lieberman trade at 3.75% Yes and 96.25% No. The current spread between Eizenkot and Netanyahu suggests traders see a competitive field but still concentrate positioning in the top tier rather than the tail outcomes.<\/p>\n<p>Watch for further shifts in the top-two spread between Gadi Eizenkot and Benjamin Netanyahu, alongside any volume acceleration that would signal conviction ahead of the contract\u2019s 2026-12-31 resolution date.<\/p>\n<h2>Beyond Israel Politics: Other High-Volume Geopolitical and Macro Contracts Traders Are Watching on Polymarket Today<\/h2>\n<p>Elsewhere on Polymarket, traders are also clustering around a handful of geopolitical and leadership-risk contracts with lopsided pricing and heavy flow. The platform\u2019s \u201cWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?\u201d market implies a 99.95% \u201cNo\u201d outcome on $65,626,158 in volume, while \u201cWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?\u201d is also marked at 99.95% \u201cNo\u201d with $3,473,975 traded. In leadership markets, \u201cNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)\u201d has \u201cStarmer &#8211; UK PM\u201d at 90.5% on $5,870,071, and \u201cIran successfully targets shipping by&#8230;?\u201d points to \u201cAugust 31\u201d at 99.95% with $450,254 in matched volume.<\/p>\n<h2>Odds Trend<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Window<\/th>\n<th>Change (pp)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>24h<\/td>\n<td>+2.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>7d<\/td>\n<td>+2.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Implied odds (last 48h)025Odds %Gadi EizenkotBenjamin NetanyahuNaftali BennettAvigdor Lieberman<\/p>\n<h2>By the Numbers<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Top strike rungs<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Strike<\/th>\n<th>Yes<\/th>\n<th>No<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Gadi Eizenkot<\/td>\n<td>41.5%<\/td>\n<td>58.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Benjamin Netanyahu<\/td>\n<td>33.5%<\/td>\n<td>66.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Naftali Bennett<\/td>\n<td>12.5%<\/td>\n<td>87.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Avigdor Lieberman<\/td>\n<td>3.8%<\/td>\n<td>96.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>+14 more strikes not shown<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Related Markets<\/h2>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<p><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election\">View market on platform<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Argentina Corruption Scandal Hits Headlines as Polymarket Lifts Gadi Eizenkot to 41.55% to Be Israel\u2019s Next Prime Minist Argentine President Javier Milei\u2019s Cabinet chief and close ally Manuel Adorni resigned on Saturday amid a corruption scandal that has shaken the government. On Polymarket\u2019s \u201cWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":620883,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[25855,25724,25704,25,2322,2323],"class_list":{"0":"post-620882","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-gaza-war","9":"tag-israel-politics","10":"tag-israelgaza-prediction-markets","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-polymarket","13":"tag-prediction-markets"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=620882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620882\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/620883"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=620882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=620882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=620882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}