{"id":618032,"date":"2026-06-22T04:03:55","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T04:03:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/trump-cites-reflecting-pool-vandalism-as-polymarket-prices-petro-exit-at-625-0hnmg2d36og00"},"modified":"2026-06-22T04:03:55","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T04:03:55","slug":"trump-cites-reflecting-pool-vandalism-as-polymarket-prices-petro-exit-at-62-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/06\/22\/trump-cites-reflecting-pool-vandalism-as-polymarket-prices-petro-exit-at-62-5\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump cites Reflecting Pool vandalism as Polymarket prices Petro exit at 62.5%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news\/thumbnails\/Economy%20trends.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<h2>Trump Warns Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool May Be Drained as Polymarket Bets Lift \u201cPetro Out Before 2027\u201d to 62.5%<\/h2>\n<p>US President Donald Trump said the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington may need to be drained for repairs after what he called vandalism, according to a post on Truth Social. The remarks landed as Polymarket traders pushed up the leading outcome in the &#8220;Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)&#8221; market.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Polymarket prices &#8220;Petro &#8211; Colombia President&#8221; as the leading outcome at 62.5% to be the next leader out of power before 2027.<\/li>\n<li>The leading outcome rose 5.0 percentage points from 57.5% as news circulated about Trump alleging vandalism at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool.<\/li>\n<li>The contract is set to resolve by 2026-12-31, with the leading outcome down 7.0 points over both the past 24 hours and seven days.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>US President Donald Trump said the newly renovated Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington will likely need to be drained so repairs can be carried out after what he described as vandalism. In a Truth Social post dated June 20, Trump said he met with contractors and that work would be completed as quickly as possible. He said several alleged vandals had been arrested, and claimed more arrests were made in connection with the incident, without providing evidence. Trump also alleged that someone poured corrosive chemicals into the pool, while the US Park Police, the Interior Department and the US Attorney&#8217;s Office for the District of Columbia did not immediately respond to requests for comment. Trump had announced on June 6 that a $14.7 million renovation of the pool had been completed, and workers later poured hydrogen peroxide into the water to address an algae bloom that turned it green as paint was reported peeling from the bottom.<\/p>\n<h2>Polymarket Data: $2.15M Volume, Petro Yes 62.5% (+5 pts), Starmer Yes 35% as Top Two Outcomes Dominate Liquidity<\/h2>\n<p>On Polymarket, the &#8220;Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)&#8221; contract showed $2,150,382 in volume, with the leading outcome &#8220;Petro &#8211; Colombia President&#8221; at 62.5% Yes versus 37.5% No. &#8220;Starmer &#8211; UK PM&#8221; was priced at 35.0% Yes and 65.0% No, a distant second in the multi-outcome book. Longer-shot lines clustered near zero, including &#8220;Trump &#8211; USA President&#8221; at 0.15% Yes versus 99.85% No and &#8220;Zelenskyy &#8211; Ukraine President&#8221; at 0.25% Yes versus 99.75% No, underscoring how concentrated positioning remains in the top two outcomes.<\/p>\n<p>The market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31; traders will likely focus on whether the current 62.5% leader holds as liquidity and odds shift across the top outcomes.<\/p>\n<h2>Beyond the Washington Headlines: Other High-Interest \u201cLeader Out Before 2027\u201d Contracts Polymarket Traders Are Watching<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond leadership-risk pricing, Polymarket flows are also clustering in event-driven geopolitics and the next U.S. election cycle. Traders have pushed \u201cWhat Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?\u201d to 100% for Troop Withdrawal on $11,977,554 in volume, while \u201cWho will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?\u201d is also priced at 100% for J.D. Vance on $2,162,899. In longer-dated politics, \u201cPresidential Election Winner 2028\u201d leads with JD Vance at 20.65% on $635,766,469, and \u201cRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028\u201d is led by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49.0% on $662,882,947, highlighting how traders are balancing near-term diplomatic speculation against big-ticket electoral positioning.<\/p>\n<h2>Odds Trend<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Window<\/th>\n<th>Change (pp)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>24h<\/td>\n<td>-7.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>7d<\/td>\n<td>-7.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>By the Numbers<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Platform:<\/strong> Polymarket<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market:<\/strong> <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban\">Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Contract type:<\/strong> Price strike ladder: each rung has separate Yes\/No; Yes means the spot price is above that USD strike at settlement.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Resolution window:<\/strong> Dec 31, 2026 (UTC)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Status:<\/strong> Active (open for trading)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Volume:<\/strong> ~$2,150,382<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Top strike rungs<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Strike<\/th>\n<th>Yes<\/th>\n<th>No<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Petro &#8211; Colombia President<\/td>\n<td>62.5%<\/td>\n<td>37.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Starmer &#8211; UK PM<\/td>\n<td>35.0%<\/td>\n<td>65.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>D\u00edaz-Canel &#8211; Cuba President<\/td>\n<td>1.9%<\/td>\n<td>98.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Abbas &#8211; President of Palestine<\/td>\n<td>0.7%<\/td>\n<td>99.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>+20 more strikes not shown<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Related Markets<\/h2>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<p><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban\">View market on platform<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump Warns Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool May Be Drained as Polymarket Bets Lift \u201cPetro Out Before 2027\u201d to 62.5% US President Donald Trump said the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington may need to be drained for repairs after what he called vandalism, according to a post on Truth Social. The remarks landed as Polymarket [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":618033,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[25438,25],"class_list":{"0":"post-618032","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-donald-trump-prediction-markets","9":"tag-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/618032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=618032"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/618032\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/618033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=618032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=618032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=618032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}