{"id":608022,"date":"2026-06-01T07:06:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T07:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/Blockchain.News\/news\/20260601-price-prediction-eth-2100-retest-likely-before-1900-breakdown"},"modified":"2026-06-01T07:06:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T07:06:00","slug":"eth-price-prediction-2100-retest-likely-before-1900-breakdown-65-probability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/2026\/06\/01\/eth-price-prediction-2100-retest-likely-before-1900-breakdown-65-probability\/","title":{"rendered":"ETH Price Prediction: $2,100 Retest Likely Before $1,900 Breakdown &#8211; 65% Probability"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"figure mt-2\">\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/Profile\/Jessie-A-Ellis\">Jessie A Ellis<\/a> <span class=\"publication-date ml-2\"> Jun 01, 2026 07:06<\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"lead\">Ethereum&#8217;s technical breakdown below all major moving averages signals deeper correction ahead, with 65% odds of testing $1,900 support despite bullish analyst calls for $3,500.<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/image\/4888C8C06C69C937D41409E0DD3C644CD29D2913F0422E39B0814B96B333883D.jpg\" class=\"hero-image-link\"> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"rounded hero-image\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blockchain.news:443\/image\/4888C8C06C69C937D41409E0DD3C644CD29D2913F0422E39B0814B96B333883D.jpg\" alt=\"ETH Price Prediction: $2,100 Retest Likely Before $1,900 Breakdown - 65% Probability\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\"> <\/a> <\/figure>\n<h2>The Immediate Setup<\/h2>\n<p>Ethereum just punched through critical support at $2,000, closing at $1,988 with aggressive selling dominating the tape. The price action screams distribution as ETH sits 20% below its 200-day moving average at $2,492, painting a clear bearish picture that most retail traders are ignoring.<\/p>\n<p>With RSI dropping to 30.33 and sitting near oversold territory, we&#8217;re seeing the kind of momentum washout that typically precedes either a dead-cat bounce or complete capitulation. The MACD histogram flat-lining at zero while the main line sits deep in negative territory at -67.82 tells us selling pressure remains intact despite the oversold readings.<\/p>\n<h2>Key Levels Exposed<\/h2>\n<p>The technical landscape is brutally clear &#8211; ETH has violated every meaningful support level and now trades in no-man&#8217;s land. With price sitting at just 0.14 on the Bollinger Band scale (where 0 is the lower band), Ethereum is hugging the bottom of its recent trading range like a desperate climber.<\/p>\n<p>The 20-day moving average at $2,106 has become formidable resistance, sitting $117 above current levels. More concerning is the cascade of moving averages all pointing downward &#8211; the 7-day SMA at $2,020, 50-day at $2,238, and 200-day at $2,492 form a gauntlet of overhead resistance that will take serious buying power to break through. <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\">Blockchain.news<\/a> technical analysis suggests this type of moving average alignment typically signals extended downtrends.<\/p>\n<h2>Sentiment vs Reality<\/h2>\n<p>Here&#8217;s where it gets interesting &#8211; the disconnect between analyst predictions and market reality is massive. Altcoin Doctor called for $3,500 by mid-January while CoinCodex projected a 10.38% rally to $3,549 by January 12th. Both predictions now look laughably optimistic with ETH trading 77% below those targets just weeks before their supposed achievement dates.<\/p>\n<p>The derivatives market reveals the real story behind the scenes. While retail remains stubbornly long with a 3.18:1 long\/short ratio, the taker buy\/sell ratio of 0.80 shows aggressive selling is overwhelming bullish sentiment. Smart money appears aligned with retail for once, showing a 3.89:1 long bias, but this could be hedge positions rather than directional bets. <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\">Blockchain.news<\/a> derivatives data often reveals these institutional positioning nuances that retail misses.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"card border-0 rounded-4 shadow-sm my-4 bg-body-tertiary news-inline-price-chart\" data-news-inline-chart=\"1\" data-binance-symbol=\"ETHUSDT\" aria-labelledby=\"news-inline-pc-h-14ba0a17\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p class=\"small text-secondary mb-2\">Hourly candlesticks (about 96 bars), same endpoint as our cryptocurrency price pages. Numbers below refresh from 1-minute klines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"small mb-0 mt-2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/price\/ETH\/USD\">Full ETH price, calculator &amp; analysis<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<h2>Actionable Trade Strategy<\/h2>\n<p>The setup screams short-term bounce followed by deeper breakdown. I&#8217;m targeting a relief rally to $2,050-2,100 resistance zone (the confluence of previous support and the 7-day moving average) before the next leg down begins.<\/p>\n<p>Entry strategy: Wait for any bounce above $2,020 to fade the rip with stops above $2,130. The risk\/reward favors bears with initial targets at $1,900 strong support and ultimate breakdown objectives near $1,750 if the crypto winter deepens.<\/p>\n<p>For bulls brave enough to catch this falling knife, only consider longs below $1,950 with tight stops at $1,900. The daily ATR of $64.94 means volatility remains elevated, so position sizing becomes critical. Any sustained break below $1,900 invalidates all bullish scenarios and opens the door to $1,600. <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\">Blockchain.news<\/a> risk management protocols suggest never risking more than 2% of capital on such high-volatility setups.<\/p>\n<p>The probability matrix heavily favors bears: 65% chance of testing $1,900 within two weeks, 35% chance of sustained bounce above $2,100. Trade accordingly.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\">Blockchain.news Crypto Market<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span><i>Image source: Shutterstock<\/i><\/span> <!-- Divider --> <!-- Bookmark button -->  <!-- Bookmark button END --> <!-- Author info END --> <!-- Divider --> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockchain.news\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jessie A Ellis Jun 01, 2026 07:06 Ethereum&#8217;s technical breakdown below all major moving averages signals deeper correction ahead, with 65% odds of testing $1,900 support despite bullish analyst calls for $3,500. The Immediate Setup Ethereum just punched through critical support at $2,000, closing at $1,988 with aggressive selling dominating the tape. The price action [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":608023,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[272,21716,21717],"class_list":{"0":"post-608022","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-blockchain","8":"tag-analysis","9":"tag-eth-price-analysis","10":"tag-eth-price-prediction"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/608022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=608022"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/608022\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/608023"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=608022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=608022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/e-bitco.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=608022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}